BLM publishes MoJ Portal Analysis

19 Feb 2018

BLM has published an analysis of the data captured within the Ministry of Justice RTA portal.

The full report can be accessed here.

Key observations and conclusions this quarter include:

Observations

  • The YTD volume of CNFs sent, when compared with the previous reporting year, has fallen by 63,003 (- 10.6 %) to 532,182, which is equivalent to 68.6% of the previous year’s total at the end of Q3.
  • The number of Stage 1 exits, when compared with the previous reporting year, has fallen by 28,585 (- 19.1%) to 120,967, which is equivalent to 62.3% of the previous year’s total at the end of Q3.
  • The number of Stage 2 exits, when compared with the previous reporting year, has fallen by 1,319 (- 12.8%) to 8,948, which is equivalent to 65.0% of the previous year’s total at the end of Q3.
  • The number of claims using the Exit Process, when compared with the previous reporting year, has fallen by 4,326 (- 3.4%) to 123,899, which is equivalent to 71.9% of the previous year’s total at the end of Q3.
  • The percentage of CNFs exiting for one reason or another is 47.7%, which represents a slight decrease when compared with the previous reporting year’s figure of 48.3%. The number of Stage 2 settlements, when compared with the previous reporting year, has fallen by 17,070 (-11.5%) to 130,731, which is equivalent to 67.5% of the previous year’s total at the end of Q3.
  • The number of Stage 3 court packs that were prepared, when compared with the previous reporting year, has increased by 2,279 (+ 4.3%) to 55,853, which is equivalent to 77.7% of the previous year’s total at the end of Q3.

Conclusions

  • CNFs sent – if the present position is maintained, the annualised projection for 2017/18 would be 709,576. As the total number of CNFs sent during 2016/17 was 776,225, this suggests a fall of 66,649 (- 8.6%) when compared with the previous reporting year.
  • Stage 1 – if the present position on Stage 1 exits is maintained, the annualised projection for 2017/18 would be 161,289, a decrease of or 32,844 (- 16.9%) claims year on year – a positive  sign given that fewer ‘unsuitable’ – i.e. contested – claims appear to be entering the Portal and subsequently exiting at the earliest opportunity.
  • Stage 2 – if the present position on Stage 2 exits is maintained, the annualised projection for 2017/18 would be 11,931, a decrease of 13.4% year on year – a positive sign given that more claims are being successfully settled at Stage 2, albeit the projected increase in absolute terms is minimal at 1,835 claims.
  • General Exit Process – if the present position on general exits is maintained, the annualised projection for 2017/18 would be 165,199, which would represent a decrease of 7,164 (- 4.2%) – a positive sign reflecting fewer claims exiting, likely as a result of fewer CNFs being notified.
  • Claims YTD that either settled at Stage 2 or proceeded to Stage 3 together total 186,584 (35.0% of the total of CNFs sent), which represents an increase of 1.3% in the percentage of CNFs either settling at Stage 2 or proceeding for disposal to Stage 3 when compared with the previous reporting year.
  • The number of Stage 3 court packs prepared as a percentage of CNFs retained averages 20.1%, which represents an increase of 2.7% when compared with the same period during the previous reporting year – a potentially negative sign suggesting a greater proportion of claims are either proceeding to court for disposal or only settling later in the claims process when claimants’ legal representatives are entitled to recover an additional ‘Type A’ fee.
  • Retained claims unaccounted for by either a Stage 2 settlement or a Stage 3 court pack total 67,230 YTD (12.  7%). Analysis will continue to be required by customers to track the progress and lifecycle of claims which appear to stall at Stage 2 before being abandoned, stayed or resurrected, given that the Portal is not capable of capturing this information (albeit these figures include claims where liability decisions remain outstanding).

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Disclaimer: This document does not present a complete or comprehensive statement of the law, nor does it constitute legal advice. It is intended only to highlight issues that may be of interest to customers of BLM. Specialist legal advice should always be sought in any particular case.

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Kerris Dale

Kerris Dale

Partner, head of office and head of motor,
Cardiff


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