BLM publishes MOJ Portal analysis - November 2018

28 Nov 2018

BLM has published an analysis of the data captured within the Ministry of Justice RTA portal.

Click here to read the full report.

Key observations and conclusions this quarter include:

Observations

  • The volume of CNFs sent, when compared with the previous reporting year, has fallen by 2,032 (-0.6 %) to 354,299, which is equivalent to 50.5% of the previous year’s volume at the end of H1.
  • Stage 1 exits, when compared with the previous reporting year, have fallen by 7,843 (-9.4%) to 75,516, which is equivalent to 47.8% of the previous year’s volume at the end of H1.
  • Stage 2 exits, when compared with the previous reporting year, have increased by 545 (+9.1%) to 6,544, which is equivalent to 53.8% of the previous year’s volume at the end of H1.
  • The number of claims using the Exit Process, when compared with the previous reporting year, has fallen by 231 (-0.3%) to 83,793, which is equivalent to 51.1% of the previous year’s volume at the end of H1.
  • The percentage of CNFs exiting for one reason or another is 47.9%, which represents a slight reduction when compared with the previous reporting year’s figure of 49.7% – a positive sign.
  • Stage 2 settlements, when compared with the previous reporting year, have fallen by 6,707 (-7.4%) to 83.838, which is equivalent to 48.8% of the previous year’s volume – a potentially negative sign.
  • Stage 3 court packs, when compared with the previous reporting year, have fallen by 755 (-2.0%) to 37,119, which is equivalent to 50.3% of the previous year’s volumes.

Conclusions

  • CNFs sent – if the present position is maintained, the annualised projection for 2018/19 would be 708,598. As the total number of CNFs sent during 2017/18 was 701,764, this suggests an increase of 7,020 claims (+1.00%) year on year.
  • Stage 1 – if the present position on Stage 1 exits is maintained, the annualised projection for 2018/19 would be 151,032, i.e. a decrease of 6,867 claims (-4.3%) year on year.
  • Stage 2 – if the present position on Stage 2 exits is maintained, the annualised projection for 2018/19 would be 13,088, an increase of 7.5% year on year – a potentially negative sign but for the fact this equates to an additional 918 claims where quantum cannot not be agreed.
  • General Exit Process – if the present position on general exits is maintained, the annualised projection for 2018/19 would be 167,586, which would represent an increase of 3,695 (+ 2.3%).
  • Claims YTD that either settled at Stage 2 or proceeded to Stage 3 together total 120,957 (34.2% of the total of CNFs sent), i.e. a projected decrease of 0.8% in the percentage of CNFs either settling at Stage 2 or proceeding for disposal to Stage 3 when compared with the previous reporting year.
  • The number of Stage 3 court packs prepared as a percentage of CNFs retained averages 19.7%, which represents a slight decrease of 0.4% when compared with the previous reporting year – a marginal decrease in the volume of claims either proceeding to court for disposal or only settling later in the claims process when claimants’ legal representatives are entitled to recover an additional ‘Type A’ fee.
  • Retained claims unaccounted for by either a Stage 2 settlement or a Stage 3 court pack are projected to total 134,978, which would represent an additional 12,917 claims (+10.6%), owing to (i) a greater number of notified claims being notified, and (ii) fewer Stage 2 settlements. Analysis will continue to be required by customers to track the progress and lifecycle of claims which appear to stall at Stage 2 before being abandoned or resurrected, given that the Portal is not capable of capturing this information (and these figures also include CNFs that have liability decisions outstanding).

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Disclaimer: This document does not present a complete or comprehensive statement of the law, nor does it constitute legal advice. It is intended only to highlight issues that may be of interest to customers of BLM. Specialist legal advice should always be sought in any particular case.

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Kerris Dale

Kerris Dale

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Cardiff


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