BLM publishes MoJ portal analysis August 2018

20 Aug 2018

BLM has published an analysis of the data captured within the Ministry of Justice RTA portal.

Click here to read the full report.

Key observations and conclusions this quarter include:

Observations

  • The volume of CNFs sent, when compared with the previous reporting year, has fallen by 3,336 (- 1.9 %) to 175,371, which is equivalent to 98.1% of the previous year’s volume at the end of Q1.
  • Stage 1 exits, when compared with the previous reporting year, have fallen by 3,162 (- 7.5%) to 39,083, which is equivalent to 92.5% of the previous year’s volume at the end of Q1.
  • Stage 2 exits, when compared with the previous reporting year, have increased by 359 (+ 11.4%) to 3,502, which is equivalent to 111.4% of the previous year’s volume at the end of Q1.
  • The number of claims using the Exit Process, when compared with the previous reporting year, has fallen by 1,458 (- 3.4%) to 163,891, which is equivalent to 96.6% of the previous year’s volume at the end of Q1.
  • The percentage of CNFs exiting for one reason or another is 47.7%, which represents a slight reduction when compared with the previous reporting year’s figure of 48.7% – a positive sign.
  • Stage 2 settlements, when compared with the previous reporting year, have fallen by 4,398 (-9.4%) to 42,462, which is equivalent to 90.6% of the previous year’s volume – a potentially negative sign.
  • Stage 3 court packs, when compared with the previous reporting year, have fallen by 147 (- 0.8%) to 18,972, which is equivalent to 99.2% of the previous year’s volume.


Conclusions

  • CNFs sent – if the present position is maintained, the annualised projection for 2018/19 would be 701,484. As the total number of CNFs sent during 2017/18 was 701,764, this suggests support may have been established at these levels, given a fall of only 280 claims (- 0.04%) year on year.
  • Stage 1 – if the present position on Stage 1 exits is maintained, the annualised projection for 2018/19 would be 156,332, i.e. another marginal decrease of 1,567 claims (- 1.0%) year on year, which again suggests support may have been established.
  • Stage 2 – if the present position on Stage 2 exits is maintained, the annualised projection for 2018/19 would be 14,008, a more significant increase of 15.1% year on year – a potentially negative sign given the projection reveals an additional 1,838 claims where quantum cannot not be agreed.
  • General Exit Process – if the present position on general exits is maintained, the annualised projection for 2018/19 would be 163,240, which represents a decrease of only 651 (- 0.4%) – a further indication that support may have been established at these levels.
  • Claims YTD that either settled at Stage 2 or proceeded to Stage 3 together total 31,434 (35.1% of the total of CNFs sent), i.e. an increase of 0.1% in the percentage of CNFs either settling at Stage 2 or proceeding for disposal to Stage 3 when compared with the previous reporting year.
  • The number of Stage 3 court packs prepared as a percentage of CNFs retained averages 20.7%, which represents a slight increase of 0.6% when compared with the previous reporting year – a marginal increase in the volume of claims either proceeding to court for disposal or only settling later in the claims process when claimants’ legal representatives are entitled to recover an additional ‘Type A’ fee.
  • Retained claims unaccounted for by either a Stage 2 settlement or a Stage 3 court pack are projected to total 122,168, which would represent a slight decrease of 1,300 claims (-1.1%). Analysis will continue to be required by customers to track the progress and lifecycle of claims which appear to stall at Stage 2 before being abandoned or resurrected, given that the Portal is not capable of capturing this information (and these figures also include CNFs that have liability decisions outstanding).

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Disclaimer: This document does not present a complete or comprehensive statement of the law, nor does it constitute legal advice. It is intended only to highlight issues that may be of interest to customers of BLM. Specialist legal advice should always be sought in any particular case.

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Kerris Dale

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Cardiff


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